I’ll be brief.
Best Picture: Argo
I originally thought Lincoln, but I’m coming around that the whole Argo thing is really going to happen, even though Ben Affleck didn’t get a director nomination.
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis
Book it. A lock.
Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence
I think this is one way Silver Linings Playbook gets some love (see the next entry fo the other). Lawrence had a great year. She’s deserving.
Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro
It’s been a while for Bobby D, and this is a worthy role. Otherwise, it’s Django’s Christoph Waltz. I thought that performance petered out after a great start.
Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
I’m not a big fan, but I get it. It’s hers this year. Saw everything but The Master.
Animated Feature: Brave
Could be Wreck It, Ralph. But I have a Pixar fetish, and I think they lost last year. Bet they’re back this year.
Cinematography: Anna Karenina
I really enjoyed this film and I think the filmwork was marvelous.
Costume: Anna Karenina
Makeup: The Hobbit
Peter Jackson has to get something, right?
Directing: Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
Didn’t see it, but he’s great, I don’t think the others are all that deserving (Lincoln was good but it had some hokey parts—including the beginning, Silver Linings Playbook was well-done but not a tour de force), and it sounds like a winner. I bet it wins a lot of technical awards.
Documentary: Searching for Sugar Man
Doc Short: Redemption
Film Editing: Zero Dark Thirty
What a final hour!
Foreign Language Film: Amour
Makeup: Les Mis
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Writing, Adapted: Lincoln
Toss-up between this and Argo.
Writing, Original: Django
I think Tarantino is way indulgent in this script, and I liked Moonrise Kingdom’s more, but it’s not me voting.
UPDATE: I finished 12 of 19 on these, which wasn’t great but was good enough to tie for the win in the pool at my friend’s annual Oscar party. If only I had listened to that voice in my head that said, “Robert De Niro didn’t even fake a little bit of a Philly accent.”